"Brexit is not something which is happening in two years, it is happening now"

This time last year the BBC was reporting that Northern Irish shoppers were heading South for bargains. Like the seasons themselves the border regions have become accustomed to currency fluctuations – sometimes benefiting the South and sometimes the North.  This time…

The hard facts of dairy

In a recent article in the Irish Independent Brendan Keenan noted: “Almost 600 million litres of raw milk crossed the border from the North last year. Imports of drinking milk were valued at €175 million.” All sorts of fantasy deals…

Source: Queen's University Brexit Resource Guide

The European Politics team at Queen’s University, Belfast has been pumping out articles and studies on Brexit since early 2015 and Professor David Phinnemore seems to be the most prolific writer. The common thread seems to be a desire to…

Source: Nevin Economic Research Institute

This 30-page report from the Nevin Economic Research Institute (NERI), which is closely linked to the Irish and international trade union movement, was published in April 2016 with heavy use of the conditional tense. It certainly confronted the scope and…

Source: Impact on fisheries

SEMRU ( The Socio-Economic Marine Research Unit, NUI Galway) has produced an 8-page note (pre-referendum) containing all the fish statistics one could wish for with relevance to Brexit. The fish landed by Irish fishermen in British ports represents 27% of the total value…

Source: Food and drinks sector

26-page report produced by employers’ federation IBEC, September 2016

Source: Exposure by sector

IGEES (Irish Government Economic and Evaluation Service) is a little-known unit in the Department of Finance but they have produced an exceptionally useful 60-page report (October 2016) itemising likely Brexit impact sector by sector. This is important because for the typical decision-maker…

Source: NTMA pre-vote report

  The National Treasury Management Agency, which borrows money on behalf of the Irish state from international financial markets, can muster serious analytical clout. This 17-page report scans the whole Brexit horizon but it suffers from being written (June 2015)…

Source: Merrion Brokers

Brokers could hardly ignore Brexit in their quarterly newsletters to customers but some of them hardly add value: “One can only speculate as to how “Brexit” will impact Ireland in the coming months and years.” You don’t need an economist…

Source: Goodbody Brokers on Irish economy

Goodbody Brokers economist Dermot O’Leary downgraded his expectations of the Irish economy in the wake of the referendum result. Like most such reports it spends more time trying to analyse the impact on the British economy before attempting to measure…