Source: NERI institute quarterly economic outlook

High-quality analysis of the Northern Ireland economy is a bit thin on the ground so it is positive that the Nevin Economic Research Institute is taking up the challenge – rather more than half of its 36-page Quarterly Economic Outlook  is…

Invasion of the Brexit briefs

In all the analysis of the impact of Brexit on Irish imports and exports, not many of us thought of solicitors. By the end of the year there will be 1347 new solicitors on the Irish register according to the…

Barnier says Brexit deal possible by October 2018

EU Commission chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier reckons a a Brexit deal could be in place by October 2018 if British Prime Minister triggers Article 50 by the end of March next year as she has indicated. His comments are…

Source: Better news on FDI front

Time was when reports from the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) were ignored or even ridiculed in the corridors of power – their bearded former chief economist, John Fitzgerald, was famously described by a former finance minister as a…

Source: Institute for Government Brexit papers

Source: Institute for Government Brexit papers

  The Institute for Government Brexit papers deal with issues from a UK legal and constitutional standpoint so they tend to be very good on process: why Parliament will have to be involved in acceptance of whatever divorce deal the…

Source: IIEA Policy Brief on border issues

Source: IIEA Policy Brief on border issues

  The Dublin-based Institute for International and European Affairs looks as if it just might be the think tank whose hour has come. It was among the first out of the traps with a policy brief (unfortunately without a precise…

Source: Wide-ranging academic study of impact on NI

Academics at Newcastle and Durham Universities issued this policy paper  entitled “Brexit, Northern Ireland and Ireland”, in June 2016. There is no specific date on it but it probably came out ahead of the vote since it says in the introduction:…

This will take years

British politics increasing revolves around when and how Article 50 will be triggered and what will happen in the following two years. In fact, rather less will happen than is assumed in much media commentary. “These are purely divorce talks”,…

European leaders want some clarity

European leaders want some clarity

David Cameron said he would trigger Article 50 immediately in the event of losing the referendum.  His successor Theresa May decided otherwise but five months later nothing of substance has happened and we have no idea why. We have learned…

Brexit bill for beef producers: €4000-5000 a year

In a worst-case Brexit scenario , income on Irish cattle-rearing firms could fall by 37% or €4000-5000 a year. Worst case means UK-EU trade based on World Trade Organisation tariffs, according to the Teagasc (Irish Agriculture and Food Development Authority)…