Supply chains the fourth Brexit whammy

Supply chains the fourth Brexit whammy

As nonsense and whimsical wishful thinking about soft borders recede, our appetite for hard, fact-based economic scenarios increases. To date, we have had just two systematic quantitative analyses of the impact of a crash-out Brexit on Ireland: Working Paper 550…

OECD: Brexit will wipe £40 billion off British growth

OECD: Brexit will wipe £40 billion off British growth

The “no-deal” Brexit that is now on the cards would wipe up to £40 billion off UK economic growth by 2019, according to the Organisation for Economic Development (OECD). In its September economic forecast summary it said the threat of…

"Find a new home for a billion litres of milk"

“Find a new home for a billion litres of milk”

BBB was established a year ago in large measure because we were so critical of the quality of media analysis and commentary on the issue. An honourable exception from day one was Tony Connelly, RTE Europe Editor. Now he has…

It is Ireland that will suffer most in a Brexit no deal

It is Ireland that will suffer most in a Brexit no deal

Whether it is hard ball or reality the potential of a no deal has entered the conversation.  The former governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus in this piece for “The Conversation” reflects on the potential outcome of a no…

Customs White Paper faces both ways

Customs White Paper faces both ways

There is by now a well-established procedure in the Brexit debate that involves you or me  or Michel Barnier asking the British government what they intend to do about this or that and getting a reply on the lines of:…

A stay of execution is always welcome

A stay of execution is always welcome

Dr Samuel Johnson, he who was not overly impressed by the Giant’s Causeway, said that the prospect of hanging concentrates the mind wonderfully. We who grapple with the looming disaster that is Brexit know exactly what he meant. So the…

"Politically crass and scientifically meritless" - Ouch!

“Politically crass and scientifically meritless” – Ouch!

With a title – “How the UK and EU can resolve the Irish border issue after Brexit” – you would think that the Legatum Institute had it all sorted.   Not according to Queen’s University’s Dr Katy Hayward and Research…

HMRC - adding it up.

HMRC – adding it up.

The head of the HMRC has given his estimation to the Treasury Select Committee  of the cost of border and tax checks post Brexit. Between five and eight hundred million pounds with the need for about 5000 additional staff. Although…

"...someone is going to mention the unmentionable."

“…someone is going to mention the unmentionable.”

The response by the EU’s Michel Barnier to the EU’s position papers on Brexit’s particular impact on Ireland was fairly direct – in effect calling Britain out on its stance. In the Irish Examiner Fergus Finlay calls Britain out further, not…

Europe comes first

Europe comes first

Daily headlines about Brexit show how much the issue dominates here.  Not so elsewhere.  As Polly Toynbee points out in the Guardian – with German elections looming at the end of the month, there was not a single mention of…