This will end with a horrible crash

This will end with a horrible crash

A critic famously wrote about Samuel Beckett’s Waiting for Godot that “nothing happened, twice”. That is pretty much what has been happening in the Brexit debate for the last couple of months, which is why we have written very little…

It's the post-Brexit economy, stupid

It’s the post-Brexit economy, stupid

One can only have the utmost sympathy for EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier as he valiantly tries to nail the latest helpings of Brexit porridge to the hard wall of economic reality. One must have admiration too for his patient,…

Will we need food patrols on the border?

Will we need food patrols on the border?

The debate on the border has focused on how Northern Ireland might be kept in ‘the’ or at least ‘a’ customs union with the EU. This still leaves the question of how the agri-food industry north and south would have…

Things that will never happen on the Brexit border

In a Radio Ulster look-back interview this morning former First Minister Peter Robinson admitted that on the basis of the economic case, he would have favoured the UK remaining in the EU. However, ‘we are where we are’ and he…

Brexit will have structural impact on Irish economy

Brexit will have structural impact on Irish economy

The Brexit debate has focused largely on the threats to goods exports and particularly to agri-food if we end up trading with the UK on the basis of World Trade Organisation tariffs. But as noted in a recent article, we…

Brexit will hit you in the shopping trolley

Brexit will hit you in the shopping trolley

South of the border where there is a strong consensus that Brexit is a bad idea inflicted upon us, the debate is primarily economic. In the north and Britain the debate is more emotional and extremely ideological, and many participants…

Time not certainty

Time not certainty

Here is the text of the agreement between the EU and UK  following the St Patrick’s weekend negotiations.  On Ireland, the UK confirmed it would accept the “backstop” solution of aligning with EU regulations to prevent a hard border with the…

UK will continue to face a united EU27 in talks

UK will continue to face a united EU27 in talks

In the months after the referendum, there were constant stories in the British media about the EU falling apart as member countries took opposing sides on various aspects of Brexit. Even now,  the Daily Express runs at least one headline…

Guardian: No progress on talks without border ‘backstop’

The EU27 will not agree to move on to negotiate a transition or a trade deal unless the UK signs up to an Irish border solution on the lines of the ‘backstop’ option agreed in December, the Guardian reports. UK…

Will it end with a Big Bang on the border?

The Russian plot has rescued Theresa May from the daily Brexit grind for a little while, but the reality checks are piling up on her desk. From where we are standing, absolutely nothing has changed since Theresa May  signed up…