European leaders want some clarity

European leaders want some clarity

David Cameron said he would trigger Article 50 immediately in the event of losing the referendum.  His successor Theresa May decided otherwise but five months later nothing of substance has happened and we have no idea why. We have learned…

Brexit bill for beef producers: €4000-5000 a year

In a worst-case Brexit scenario , income on Irish cattle-rearing firms could fall by 37% or €4000-5000 a year. Worst case means UK-EU trade based on World Trade Organisation tariffs, according to the Teagasc (Irish Agriculture and Food Development Authority)…

Brexit big deal for us but not for most European companies

Irish companies reckon Brexit is their biggest concern immediately after labour cost rises. But across Europe less than 10% of companies consider the exit of the UK as a concern worth mentioning, according to a survey of more than 50,000…

Once Article 50 is triggered, can it be revoked?

Next week the Supreme Court will hear the UK government’s appeal against a 3-0 unanimous High Court ruling that the triggering of Article 50 to leave the EU cannot be done on the basis of a Cabinet decision, but requires…

New Irish stats on Brexit

New Irish stats on Brexit

The Central Statistics Office is planning a dedicated report and website page on the impact of Brexit, the Irish Times reports. In December it will publish Brexit: Ireland and UK in numbers with 24 tables covering social and economic indicators, while key…

Another day, another court case

The European Economic Area (EEA) has always had an element of Ruritanian fantasy about it. In a pub quiz many people could come up with Norway as a member and maybe add in Iceland, but many would forget Liechtenstein and…

Bregrets? We’ve had a few, but then again ….

At first sight the notion of a second Brexit referendum in the UK seems  such a political non-runner that it is hardly worth discussing. Credibility is not enhanced when it is championed by two ex-prime ministers, one forgotten but not…

Checkout Ma'am? That'll be €60 billion

Checkout Ma’am? That’ll be €60 billion

According to Suzanne Lynch in the Irish Times, the word around Brussels is that the UK will be handed a final bill for up to  €60 billion, “taking into account everything from pension liabilities to committed budget funds” in its…

Source: Irish exports to UK could fall by 30%

Source: Irish exports to UK could fall by 30%

Since about mid-October there has been a qualitative shift in Brexit research across Europe and in Ireland the way is being led by the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI). At the beginning of November it modelled the post-Brexit Irish…